Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.581357 1.803145 2.044430 2.326374 2.646771 2.999538 3.417437
2025-10-26 1.222042 1.520078 1.872757 2.320717 2.874540 3.536905 4.389622
2025-11-02 1.025554 1.355026 1.768294 2.324424 3.053235 3.976090 5.234307
2025-11-09 0.867652 1.204823 1.648521 2.274651 3.135434 4.277663 5.909994
2025-11-16 0.768436 1.114142 1.588403 2.285832 3.285254 4.666339 6.722046
2025-11-23 0.695711 1.048530 1.550939 2.317561 3.457696 5.091409 7.613290
2025-11-30 0.623598 0.973838 1.489923 2.304527 3.557931 5.414532 8.377508
2025-12-07 0.555105 0.896006 1.414553 2.259204 3.600538 5.649505 9.022061
2025-12-14 0.492629 0.820238 1.333663 2.195035 3.604047 5.819404 9.572915
2025-12-21 0.447115 0.766565 1.281476 2.169704 3.663720 6.077345 10.279605
2025-12-28 0.426989 0.752520 1.291306 2.245369 3.892759 6.622926 11.499449
2026-01-04 0.391461 0.708469 1.246690 2.224075 3.954847 6.894410 12.275628
2026-01-11 0.369417 0.689327 1.248633 2.294181 4.200130 7.529713 13.799468
2026-01-18 0.336478 0.647723 1.208367 2.287801 4.314425 7.957676 15.017795
2026-01-25 0.309137 0.613028 1.176223 2.291487 4.445021 8.423360 16.346181
2026-02-01 0.278320 0.567976 1.119737 2.242412 4.469780 8.694016 17.330763
2026-02-08 0.258248 0.541685 1.095971 2.253436 4.610060 9.192975 18.801442
2026-02-15 0.242478 0.522239 1.083353 2.284719 4.792420 9.788203 20.518307
2026-02-22 0.223751 0.494477 1.051003 2.271868 4.882751 10.207463 21.915583
2026-03-01 0.203943 0.462161 1.005863 2.227181 4.901364 10.481020 23.033032
2026-03-08 0.184565 0.428620 0.954662 2.163913 4.873225 10.653171 23.948023
2026-03-15 0.170315 0.405020 0.922498 2.138937 4.925613 10.999659 25.274405
2026-03-22 0.165024 0.401460 0.934181 2.213541 5.207373 11.868404 27.847637